Posted by: bridget | 24 May 2007

Immigration Musings from a Border-Town Math Nerd

As Congress debates an overhaul to the immigration system, this SoCal blogger would like to add some thoughts that are apparently missed in the enclaves of Washington, D.C.

It is well-known that there are approximately 12 million illegal immigrants in the United States today (up from 7 million in 2000). Roughly 70% of all illegal immigrants are from Mexico. Therefore, there are 8.4 million Mexicans living illegally in the United States (which increases by approximately 400,000 annually). The population of Mexico is approximately 108 million. Assuming that this number accounts for the 8.4 million Mexicans living here illegally, approximately 8% of Mexicans (i.e. one in thirteen) are actually living in the United States, illegally.

There are 301 million people living in America; therefore, one in twenty-five people here are illegals. They are not distributed evenly around the country: twelve percent of the residents of Los Angeles (1 in 8) are illegal aliens. In fact, 32% of all illegal aliens reside in California, although California constitutes only 13% of the US population.

The strain on resources is enormous. Over thirty percent of the uninsured in LA are illegal aliens, which cost each taxpayer approximately $300 annually ($1000 per uninsured person). Nationally, illegal alien households caused a net deficit of $10 billion to the federal government. Contrary to popular belief, legalisation would not reduce the net deficit: as illegals earn little money and are poorly educated, they would not pay much in taxes but would benefit from the welfare state.  That deficit would increase threefold.  At least two-thirds of illegal aliens lack a high school degree.

The problems with illegal immigration are more than economic:

  • In LA, 95% of outstanding warrants for homicide target illegal aliens;
  • 2/3ds of felony fugitive warrants are for illegals;
  • even back in the ’90s (when there were fewer illegal immigrants), approximately 60% of LA gang members were illegal aliens;
  • 29% of the prison population consists of illegal immigrants whose crimes are unrelated to immigration status.

The unorthodox entry method of “undocumented workers” is but one part of the problem. (The pachyderm is looking for statistics regarding family structure… edit to follow.) It is nothing short of absurd to call these people “undocumented workers” when they do not assimilate into American culture, cause a net drain on resources, refuse to become educated, participate in gangs, and generally cause more mayhem than an invading army.

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Responses

  1. I like the one that the Left uses about “undocumented” workers how they are carring their own burden and on balance contribute more than they take. I’ve even heard them say they are paying their income taxes.

    Do you know how much you have to make in this country before you have to pay income taxes. Add to that the long list of exemptions for kids and I doubt many are any contribution to the tax system and hence the welfare system that they are draining dry.

    I can’t figure out why we have to jump from the argument, “well do you think you’re going to deport 11 million people?” and since we can’t do that we suddenly must dissolve to the conclusion that we need to make it easy on them to be here and have an ultimate path to citizen and escape back taxes, etc.

    So if we can’t deport them, lets not award them and thereby encourage more. We can catch all the criminals in the country (they are a fact of life). Should that be a reason to repeal the penal code?

  2. 30 % uninsured ? Is that why Arnold wants universal health ala Romney ? 32 % illegal and counting.
    ” * In LA, 95% of outstanding warrants for homicide target illegal aliens;
    * 2/3ds of felony fugitive warrants are for illegals;
    * even back in the ’90s (when there were fewer illegal immigrants), approximately 60% of LA gang members were illegal aliens;
    * 29% of the prison population consists of illegal immigrants whose crimes are unrelated to immigration status.
    Yet LAPD has a policy not to ask about immigration status.There was a lawsuit related to that I don’t know how that panned out.
    “>
    HAGWE informative post I2TF

  3. Steve,
    Yeah, I was going to add that to my post… essentially, since “undocumented workers” make so little, have so little education, and have large families, they would be a drain on resources.

    According to one of the links:

    If illegal aliens were given amnesty and began to pay taxes and use services like households headed by legal immigrants with the same education levels, the estimated annual net fiscal deficit would increase from $2,700 per household to nearly $7,700, for a total net cost of $29 billion.

    Think of all the fun we could have with $29 billion.

    Did you read Ann Coulter’s newest column? She asked pretty much the same question. Fact is, we can’t catch every litterbug, so we have very stiff penalties for littering ($1000 in California). It deters the people who would litter, even though they may not get caught. Essentially, what you want to do is to decrease the expectation value of any undesirable conduct – littering or moving to America. When the chances of being caught are slim, you increase the penalties.

  4. In2theFray,

    Your tag isn’t coming through correctly – I’ll try to edit it.

  5. Yet I have seen people bold (ignorant) enough to argue that if we taxed these workers it would be worth it. Yeah, like they make enough.

    BTW Theo, ever know of another country that imported the bulk of its poverty level class?


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